1/24/12
12/21/11
I just got out of prison.
12/8/11
CW Artist on Eighty Meters - the Band of Brothers.
Israel is NOT the " No. 1 recipient of U.S. foreign aid"
12/2/11
The experiment is an extension of the double slit experiment. It seems that the photon "knows in advance" whether the second slit is open or closed. (http://www.hotquanta.com/wpd.html#BM2Slit)
It seems clear that there is some sort of feedback loop between the sensor of the wave/particle and the single/double slits.
In normal experience, we see both waves and particles as moving in one direction, and as time passes, the wave/particle moves along. I would like to theorize an additional dimension besides the four common (three space dimensions and one time dimension). This fifth dimension is outside of time or has no connection to time. So the wave/particle exists in the fifth dimension in a way that is different than the way it exists in the other four dimensions. In the fifth dimension, the wave/particle is the same object both at the single/double slit and at the sensor.
Let me provide a metaphor for this fifth dimension. Let's say I have a box with a dial on the box. I can turn the dial to zero thru nine. I put the box on the table, and turn the dial to zero. I take a photograph of the dial. I put the box on the chair and turn the dial to five. I look at the photograph, and it shows the dial at five.
Let me do a thought experiment. Consider the classic double slit experiment. Only this time, the source of the photon is a galaxy one billion light years away from the single/double slit. Then the sensor is another one billion light years away from the single/double slit. Assume that the wave/particle that exists in this fifth dimension uses the fifth dimension as a feedback. The wave/particle travels from the source galaxy to the single/double slit where a scientist is standing, and then travels to the sensor. When the scientist standing at the single/double slit opens the second slit, the scientist at the sensor sees a wave. When the scientist at the slit closes the second slit, the scientist at the sensor sees a particle. Because the fifth dimension is outside of time, the effect is immediate. It is as if the wave/particle at the sensor is in the same position, fifth dimensionally speaking, as the wave/particle at the sensor, even though the two are separated by a billion light years in the normal three dimensions.
Ok, that's the hypothesis. Now you do the math.
Here is the original article.
http://physics.aps.org/articles/v4/102
A new thought experiment makes it clearer than ever that photons aren’t simply particles or waves.
Proposal for a Quantum Delayed-Choice Experiment
Radu Ionicioiu and Daniel R. Terno
Phys. Rev. Lett. 107, 230406 (2011)
Published December 2, 2011
C. Orzel/Union College
Which way did it go? In a Mach-Zehnder interferometer, photons can appear to go along either of two paths (particle behavior) or along both paths (wave behavior), depending on whether the second beam splitter is in place. A new thought experiment would allow both behaviors simultaneously.
Quantum physics tells us that a photon isn’t strictly a particle or strictly a wave. And yet most of us will revert back—whenever we can—to familiar concepts of billiard balls or vibrating strings when picturing photons in our heads. A new thought experiment, proposed in Physical Review Letters, hopes to break us of these old habits. The authors imagine a type of quantum switch that controls whether a simple optical measurement tests for particlelike or wavelike behavior in a single photon. This slight reworking of a famous experiment demonstrates with logical precision the futility of trying to label the photon as a particle or a wave.
The wave-particle duality is often illustrated by splitting a light beam so that it travels along two separate paths that later merge to form an interference pattern from the combined beams. For a dim beam delivering photons one-at-a-time, this interference suggests that each photon is a wave that travels down both paths simultaneously. But if the paths are observed individually, then the photon will behave like a particle, traveling down only one path or the other and generating no interference. The fact that no experiment can measure both the wave and the particle behaviors simultaneously is called the principle of complementarity.
9/20/11
What Incentive Does Netanyahu Have to Make More Concessions?
What Incentive Does Netanyahu Have to Make More Concessions?
A recent New York Times editorial demonstrates the problem in microcosm. While various parties share blame for the Israeli-Palestinian impasse, it opined, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu "has been the most intractable, building settlements and blaming his inability to be more forthcoming on his conservative coalition."
In reality, Netanyahu is the only prime minister in Israel's history to impose a 10-month moratorium on settlement construction, a move even Secretary of State Hillary Clinton declared "unprecedented." Indeed, there has been less construction in the West Bank – and East Jerusalem – during his term than under his predecessors. But he gets no credit for this; instead, he's the premier who obstructs peace by "building settlements." So what incentive would he have to make further such gestures?
As for being insufficiently "forthcoming," Netanyahu, like all his predecessors, has repeatedly expressed willingness to cede most of the West Bank; what he's refused to do is cede the entire territory in advance. By contrast, Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas hasn't yet agreed to cede anything Israel wants (settlement blocs, the "right of return," recognition as a Jewish state, etc.), but the Times omits him entirely from its list of parties who share the blame. So Netanyahu, who has already ceded most of the West Bank, is "intractable," but Abbas, who has ceded nothing, is blame-free. Given this, what incentive does Netanyahu have to make further concessions?
The problem, of course, is that on this issue, the Times accurately reflects the international consensus – not merely on Netanyahu, but on Israel as a whole. For the last 18 years, Israel has offered nonstop concessions. It evacuated territory and uprooted settlements; it repeatedly offered a Palestinian state in most of the West Bank, Gaza and parts of East Jerusalem; it even offered to cede Judaism's holiest site, the Temple Mount. Throughout this period, Palestinians haven't offered one singlereciprocal concession – not the settlement blocs, not the "right of return," not recognition of a Jewish state; they won't even acknowledge the Jews' historical connection to this land. Yet still, the world deems Israel the "intransigent" party, the one that must concede even more. Hence most of the Quartet (comprising the U.S., EU, UN and Russia) thinks the appropriate recipe for restarting talks is to demand yet another new concession of Israel –accepting the 1967 lines upfront – while still demanding nothing of the Palestinians.
The consequence of this behavior is that fully 77 percent of Israeli Jews have concluded"it makes no difference what Israel does and how far it may go on the Palestinian issue; the world will continue to be very critical of it." And if there's no quid pro quo for concessions in the form of increased international support, there's obviously no point in continuing to make them.
The only surprising thing is, the world still seems to find this reaction surprising.
7/28/11
IBM Watson and the Future of Robots
Here is the future in computer development, as I see it now.
2011 - Watson wins Jeopardy
2015 - IBM Watsons are installed in medical and customer service applications
2016 - Watsons installed in robots. Robots can now perform menial household and factory tasks, and programmed by just being told.
2020 - Watsons installed in cars. Driverless cars introduced, first high end (Caddilac, Lexus) then all cars.
2021 - Most trucks driver-less on interstates.
2025 - Most mining operations now use robots.
2030 - A Manufacturing operation uses robots exclusively from mining raw materials, smelting, and production, and delivery.
2035 - Robots manufacture and install solar cells, 95% of all energy now solar. Cheaper than oil.
2041 - First factory that reproduces itself, completely automated, producing robots that build another factory.
2048 - Reproduce-able robot factories now on Moon and Mars.
2050 - Reproduce-able robots now number more than human population.
2066 - Human population falling as people see less need for children to support them in old age due to robot availability.
2070 - Robot population limited by available energy.
2090 - Economics and Money abandoned as population declines and all products are free anyway.
2240 - Messianic age arrives. No more war.
Oh, and one more thing. There is never a "singularity". Watsons never gain consciousness. It is just not what computers can do.
6/20/11
Anthony Weiner and the National Adultery Ritual
6/15/11
5/20/11
Questions for prospective boss
5/17/11
Can Obama recognize the “Nakba” Nakba?
President Barack Obama came to town riding on a series of assumptions about the Middle East. But the region's harsh realities have contradicted his fanciful notions.
Gil Troy is Professor of History at McGill University and a Shalom Hartman Research Fellow in Jerusalem. The author of "Why I Am A Zionist: Israel, Jewish Identity and the Challenges of Today," his latest book is "The Reagan Revolution: A Very Short Introduction."giltroy@gmail.com
5/16/11
Britain's reaction to bin Laden's assassination: surely some mistake?
Britain's reaction to bin Laden's assassination: surely some mistake?
This was despite the fact that Mahmoud al-Mabhouh was the person responsible for shipping Iranian weapons to Hamas in Gaza. His work posed a direct threat to Israel's survival. In contrast, bin Laden no longer represented any kind of analogous threat to the USA.
And here are some other differences worth thinking about:
- in the bin Laden assassination several civilians were also killed
- in the al-Mabhouh assassination no other person was harmed
- the bin Laden assassination took place in a country that is supposed to be America's 'ally'
- the al-Mabhouh assassination took place in a country that is a sworn enemy of Israel.
- al-Mabhouh was personally responsible for the slaughter of several Israeli hostages.
- as despicable as bin Laden was he had never personally murdered any Americans.
Finally, while the news on bin Laden is obviously welcome, it has two extremely worrying long-term implications.
- It will enable Obama to claim a personal military victory that could propel him to a second term in the White House (notice his consant use of the first person in his speech today). Such a term will go a long way to achieving bin Laden's objectives anyway.
- The media blackout of all other stories will enable Assad in Syria to crush the rebellion there with even greater brutality and speed, thereby possibly ensuring the survival of the Syria/Iran axis which poses the greatest threat to the world.
posted by Edgar Davidson @ 4:09 PM
ISRAEL SPEAKS
4/18/11
3/24/11
Mystery Deepens over Deadly Jerusalem Bus Bomb
Except for the fact that the West Bank GDP is growing at near double-digit rates and auto purchases are the highest in a decade, sure signs of Israel causing the Palestinians lives to be miserable.
Of course, there are people who will rationalize the idea of knifing a baby and his siblings to death in their beds to as 'leigitimate armed resistance'
These same people, who try to equate the decision by the Palestinians to launch rockets at Israeli civilians, with Israel's right to defend its citizens from such attacks, try to make the argument that Israelis "DESERVE" this violence by falsely claiming racism, in this case arguing that the Israeli government is an apartheid one.
Which of course is a lie. The reality is, Israel's government allows voting and participation by all ethnic groups, including Arabs, both Christian and Muslim. Arabs are members of Israel's courts, it's parliment, in its diplomatic corps, and executive cabinet. Israel's free-press, which includes Arab run news organizations provide for free speech. Arabs, both Christian and Muslim serve side by side in Israel, whether it is in the hospitals, where Arab doctors treat Jewish patients, and Jewish doctors treat, not only Arab patients, but Palestinians from the territories and other Arab states as well. But also in the IDF, they have the ability to serve, and do, under the same uniform and flag.
In terms of skin color, which is what Apartheid is based on, Israel not only accepted thousands of Ethiopians as Jews, during the decades when they were persecuted by their Muslim neighbors, but continues to see a stream of refugees flee the violence in Sudan, travelling through Muslim and African Egypt, braving gunfire from Egyptian border guards to flee to this supposed 'Apartheid' state. Someone must have forgotton to tell them about Israel's government.
When the so-called Humanitarians are screaming about the Palestinians, they should remember that these are the same people who handed out candy in celebration of the baby-killings of the Fogel family but two weeks ago.
Read more: http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,2061088,00.html#ixzz1HX6chQAN
3/23/11
2/24/11
Corporations and Pirate Ships
2/18/11
IBM Watson and the Future of Robots
1/24/11
How much should college cost?
10/20/10
10/7/10
What did the Arabs really win in the 1973 War with Israel?
What did the Arabs really win in the 1973 War with Israel?
The author, Firas Al-Atraqchi, is not really clear with the answer. There are a few hints though"
"...In less than a decade, any semblance of Arab unity had crumbled...."
"...El-Shazly later wrote: "This brilliant military victory was turned into a political defeat..."
And the author seems to infer that the defeat of the Arab armies "...helps us understand why Islamic militancy has become a potent force..."
So say it directly; say it clearly. The Arab ruling classes lost unity, were humiliated, and lost power. The radical Islamic militant class gained power.
This is a left hand - right hand move. The Arabs as a whole neither lost nor gained. But some power and influence was transfered from Arab to Arab.
The Arab class structure was ruptured and moved.
In my humble opinion, the war was not about Israel at all. It was only about Arab to Arab relations, and Arab class warfare. And it seems that the author would agree, even if he does not say so explicitly.
10/5/10
Tax consumption, not production.
Income tax, Cap gains tax, business tax, all add to the cost of manufacturing production. These and other forms of tax and costs make manufacturing in the US more expensive. It's well known that most manufacturing jobs have gone overseas due to the higher cost of business in the US.
However, a flat sales tax that is large enough to compensate ("pay for") the elimination of such production taxes would promote the return of manufacturing and the jobs associated with it. A flat sales tax would also happily apply to imported goods, raising the price of imported goods and backhandedly apply the costs to the overseas manufacturers. A flat sales tax would benefit the balance of payments deficit to foreign countries.
A flat sales tax would be effectively neutral to the average consumer, costing the taxpayer the same in consumption tax as currently is paid in income taxes.
An example.
Bob can buy the TV that he wants at Walmart for $1000. In order to have the $1000 available, Bob had to earn $1400, and pay $400 in taxes.
The Chinese factory that manufactured the TV pays no income tax and the workers are paid bubkis.
For the American factory to manufacture the TV, they would have to pay a combination of business taxes, Social Security taxes, and extra pay to the workers to cover the worker's income taxes. The American factory could not manufacture the TV for less than $1800.
Bob can buy the TV that he wants at Walmart for $1000. In order to have the $1000 available, Bob had to earn $1400, and pay $400 in taxes.
The Chinese factory that manufactured the TV pays no income tax and the workers are paid bubkis.
For the American factory to manufacture the TV, they would have to pay a combination of business taxes, Social Security taxes, and extra pay to the workers to cover the worker's income taxes. The American factory could not manufacture the TV for less than $1800.
Now, let's change the tax situation. Imagine this. There are no American income or business taxes. There is a 40% sales tax.
Now, the Chinese factory TV costs $1400 with the sales tax.
But Bob has earned the same $1400 and paid no income tax or Social Security tax. So, the Chinese TV is the same price to Bob.
But the American factory can now also manage to manufacture the same TV for $1000, which will sell for $1400. So the American and the Chinese TVs are now the same price.
Which means that American factory can now compete with the Chinese factory.
Which means that as more American factories compete, more American jobs are created. More Americans have more money to spend. More American goods are manufactured and bought in America.
Fewer Chinese and other foreign goods are imported. The balance of payments is improved and perhaps balanced.
America is returned to financial balance.
All this with a decision to change the way taxes are collected to finance the US Government.
Oh, and the hated income taxes are eliminated. Along with the loopholes and other unfair practices, and the social engineering by tax decree.
Oh, and the Chinese are now paying 40% of their imports into Federal taxes.
9/8/10
Day-traders are greedy bloodsucking scum?
(I feel strongly about this so I am re-posting)
Government has an obligation to establish the best conditions for a successful and productive business environment. There are some
improvements that the United States Government can take to improve the current business situation.
I am a long-term investor. The day-traders are my enemy. I see day-traders as culprits that cause markets to swing up and down needlessly. The day-traders suck gains out of the market before the long-term guys ever see the profits to their investments. For sure.
The day-traders do what is termed "taking profits". If a stock goes up, they sell, and thus cause a drop in the stock price. The long-term guy suffers with this drop. Happens daily, hourly. Day traders harm the market, the economy and the country. I repeat, day traders harm the United States with their greed. There is no benefit to the larger "macro" economy. The long-term investor is the economy builder, and is vital to the companies that he or she owns.
The day-trader, with his quick buy and sell, is of no benefit to any company in which he or she deals. And this destructive effect is amplified by computer automation.
In my humble opinion, the current recession was not caused by the "mortgage crisis" which is relatively minor in relation to the whole economy. I blame it on day-traders who exaggerated the mortgage event into a real recession.
Government can alleviate some of this day-trader churn by imposing a sales tax on these quick stock sales. Put a five percent tax on stock sales. Then, remove this tax over five years, pro rated. Real
investors will have no tax, because they buy and hold.
Anonymous said...
How can u say day traders a greedy scum when you invest for the same damn greedy reason: to make money. Learn to get in and out at the right time, don't blame others if they know better.
BaruchAttta said...
Ahh...seems that i struck a nerve with this guy.
No, I don't INVEST for any "damn greedy reason". That is not how it works. Read the post.
In short - investors finance production and construction, and share in the profits. That's why they are called "shares". That is a productive use of my money. Does everyone good.
You, you day trader damn greedy scum, you suck value out of the market for yourself, and do no one else any good. You are a legal thief.
I challenge you to defend yourself, and find any good that your greed does for anyone else in this world. Scum.
Anthony said...
I too dislike day traders, but there really isn't too much we can do about it except for making wise decisions. Remember that they can cause a stock to shoot down, they can also cause a stock to skyrocket. So it works both ways.
However we still have to respect them because they are risking their own money in their trades.
Anonymous said...
No they dont invest own money they get stock where no money exchanges they get stuck when market go down but they can also buy insurance so they win both ways short selling should be outlawed.
Anonymous said...
Really? Clearly you are not qualified in finance at all. I'll leave you be with your strange misconceptions.
But I'll also leave you with 3 questions. Who do you think provides liquidity in the market? Who do you think helps EMH (Efficient Market Hypothesis)? What do you think will happen in an illiquid market?
Hint: Think about why arbitrages are so hard to come by nowadays.
Enough Said.
BaruchAttta said...
Ok, another comment. Friendly sort, this chap.
First, about "qualifications". I assume that this chap has the same qualifications that drove the US economy into the worst recession since the 1930's depression. I don't have these kind of "qualifications" but I know a little something about money and investing.
And the chap's three questions.
Liquidity? That means that the money that I have saved up and invested can be liquidly poured down the drain. I don't need as much liquidity as this chap imagines. A real investor who invests for the long term, years and years, can wait for the investment to sell. Houses and other real estate are not "liquid" and yet are fine investments (not counting bubbles, and I dont). I would rather not have such good "liquidity" and have a better return on investment.
EMH is a bluff. It is just an excuse for the day traders. Anyone who was in the market in October 2008 knows about that. I was watching while the market dropped like a rock. For no apparent reason other than everyone else was selling and no one was buying.
Day traders watch the daily and hourly news, not to know about any market trends, but to get ahead of the next guy. If some unimportant but bad sounding news is broadcast, affecting almost no one, but the one day trader will think that the others now will sell so the whole gang sells short and ofcourse the stock price drops. The economy may be strong, long term outlook good, yet the price drops because everyone wants to sell before the other guy.
And what will happen in an illiquid market? Let's say a less liquid market? Because all markets have a certain amount of liquidity. That is the reason for the existence of the market in the first place, to sell. But with the less liquid market, then it takes longer to sell. But the long term investor is not worried about that. Buy a stock, hold for ten years, sell.
Hint: arbitrages? A good arbitrage is better for the long term investor than the sucky day traders. Arbitrage is buying in one market and selling for a better price in another. It evens out the values in markets in different places. The long term investor doesn't care.


